Netherlands vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
GIB
0 - 7
NLD
7%
15%
78%
|
92 | 43 | 49 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NLD
2 - 0
LVA
93%
6%
1%
|
92 | 55 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
TUR
4 - 2
NLD
15%
22%
64%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
POL
1 - 2
NLD
24%
23%
54%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
NLD
3 - 1
BIH
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SCT
4 - 0
FRO
81%
14%
5%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ISR
1 - 1
SCT
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
SCT
2 - 2
AUT
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ISR
1 - 0
SCT
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
SVK
1 - 0
SCT
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |