Netherlands vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NLD
4 - 2
DNK
63%
20%
17%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NLD
2 - 0
NOR
81%
13%
7%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
MNE
2 - 2
NLD
5%
15%
80%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
NLD
6 - 0
GIB
96%
3%
0%
|
92 | 41 | 51 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
LVA
0 - 1
NLD
3%
13%
84%
|
92 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
DEU
2 - 0
ISR
89%
8%
3%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ARM
1 - 4
DEU
4%
12%
84%
|
93 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
DEU
9 - 0
LIE
95%
4%
1%
|
93 | 32 | 61 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
MKD
0 - 4
DEU
5%
13%
82%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
DEU
2 - 1
ROU
85%
10%
5%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |