International Friendly

Netherlands vs Germany analysis

Netherlands Germany
89 ELO 94
-5.1% Tilt -0.3%
ELO win probability
30.4%
Netherlands
26.4%
Draw
43.3%
Germany

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
Netherlands
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.3%
Win probability
Germany
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Netherlands
Germany
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Netherlands
Netherlands
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 1980
IRL
Ireland
2 - 1
Netherlands
NED
26%
27%
47%
89 78 11 0
17 Jun. 1980
NED
Netherlands
1 - 1
Czechoslovakia
CSK
65%
19%
16%
89 88 1 0
14 Jun. 1980
BRD
Germany
3 - 2
Netherlands
NED
77%
14%
9%
89 93 4 0
11 Jun. 1980
NED
Netherlands
1 - 0
Greece
GRC
81%
12%
7%
89 73 16 0
26 Mar. 1980
FRA
France
0 - 0
Netherlands
NED
46%
26%
28%
89 87 2 0

Matches

Germany
Germany
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 1980
SUI
Switzerland
2 - 3
Germany
BRD
13%
23%
64%
94 74 20 0
22 Jun. 1980
BRD
Germany
2 - 1
Belgium
BEL
84%
11%
6%
93 86 7 +1
17 Jun. 1980
BRD
Germany
0 - 0
Greece
GRC
88%
8%
4%
94 73 21 -1
14 Jun. 1980
BRD
Germany
3 - 2
Netherlands
NED
77%
14%
9%
93 89 4 +1
11 Jun. 1980
BRD
Germany
1 - 0
Czechoslovakia
CSK
79%
13%
8%
93 88 5 0