Guinea vs Cameroon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 0
GIN
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GHA
1 - 1
GIN
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BWA
1 - 6
GIN
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
MLI
1 - 0
GIN
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
GIN
0 - 0
ZAF
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cameroon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 1
CMR
63%
20%
16%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GNB
0 - 1
CMR
6%
18%
76%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
AGO
1 - 1
CMR
21%
27%
53%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
CMR
43%
27%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CMR
3 - 1
SSD
90%
8%
2%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | +1 |