Greece vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
74.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SWE
2 - 0
GRC
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GEO
0 - 2
GRC
23%
29%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
GRC
2 - 1
SWE
21%
25%
54%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
XXK
1 - 1
GRC
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 1
GRC
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 2
FRA
52%
23%
25%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
ESP
29%
24%
48%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
XXK
0 - 2
ESP
6%
15%
79%
|
95 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 0
GEO
91%
7%
2%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
SWE
2 - 1
ESP
13%
20%
67%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |