Ghana vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
GHA
2 - 0
COM
91%
8%
1%
|
82 | 11 | 71 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
GHA
5%
14%
81%
|
83 | 11 | 72 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
CIV
1 - 0
GHA
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GHA
2 - 1
CIV
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 1
GHA
35%
29%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GAB
1 - 0
MOZ
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
MOZ
1 - 0
GAB
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ZMB
20%
25%
56%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ZMB
3 - 0
MOZ
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 0
MOZ
17%
23%
59%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |