Wales vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
WLS
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
WLS
0 - 1
POL
28%
25%
48%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
WLS
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
NLD
3 - 2
WLS
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WLS
1 - 1
BEL
9%
18%
73%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
ENG
6 - 2
IRN
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
IRN
1 - 0
NIC
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
IRN
1 - 1
SEN
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
URY
0 - 1
IRN
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
IRN
1 - 2
DZA
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |