Gabon vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
DZA
4 - 3
GAB
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
GAB
2 - 0
SLE
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
GAB
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2003 |
AND
0 - 2
GAB
31%
24%
45%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
GAB
4 - 0
GNQ
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
BFA
1 - 0
BEN
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
BEN
3 - 0
ZMB
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
TZA
0 - 1
BEN
55%
22%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
BEN
3 - 0
SDN
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 0
BEN
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |