France vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
PRT
0 - 1
FRA
45%
25%
30%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
FRA
0 - 2
FIN
88%
10%
3%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
HRV
1 - 2
FRA
31%
26%
42%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FRA
0 - 0
PRT
61%
21%
18%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
FRA
7 - 1
UKR
78%
15%
7%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SWE
2 - 1
HRV
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
DNK
2 - 0
SWE
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
PRT
3 - 0
SWE
69%
18%
12%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HRV
2 - 1
SWE
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
RUS
1 - 2
SWE
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |