France vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BLR
0 - 0
FRA
11%
21%
68%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 3
FRA
35%
28%
37%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
FRA
32%
25%
43%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
GER
0 - 2
FRA
56%
22%
23%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
FRA
5 - 2
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BGR
4 - 3
LUX
84%
13%
3%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
DEN
4 - 0
BGR
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
JPN
7 - 2
BGR
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MKD
0 - 2
BGR
31%
28%
41%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
BGR
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |