France vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
FRA
3 - 0
SWE
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1969 |
SWE
2 - 0
FRA
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1969 |
NOR
1 - 3
FRA
45%
22%
33%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
FRA
1 - 0
ROU
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
ENG
5 - 0
FRA
85%
10%
5%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1970 |
PER
5 - 3
BGR
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
PER
1 - 3
BGR
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1970 |
MEX
2 - 0
BGR
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
MAR
3 - 0
BGR
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |