Estonia vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1997 |
EST
1 - 3
LVA
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
AUT
2 - 0
EST
95%
4%
1%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
SCT
2 - 0
EST
86%
11%
3%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
EST
2 - 0
AZE
37%
26%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 1997 |
EST
0 - 0
SCT
11%
23%
66%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
AZE
1 - 2
FIN
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
AZE
3 - 0
TKM
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
EST
2 - 0
AZE
37%
26%
38%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
AZE
0 - 3
HUN
8%
16%
76%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1996 |
OMN
2 - 0
AZE
25%
26%
50%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |