United States vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
USA
0 - 4
ESP
17%
21%
62%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
USA
0 - 1
PAR
59%
23%
18%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
USA
0 - 1
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
USA
1 - 1
ARG
30%
26%
44%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
USA
1 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 2
ECU
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
BLR
0 - 1
CAN
54%
24%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
GRC
1 - 0
CAN
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
UKR
2 - 2
CAN
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
CAN
2 - 1
HND
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |