Spain vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.5%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.2%
+7
3.1%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
10.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
15.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
17.5%
3-0
18.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
21.3%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.2%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.8%
4.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
0.2%
3-3
<0%
0
4.8%
0.7%
Win probability
0.16
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.1%
2-3
0%
-1
0.6%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
ISL
0 - 0
ESP
11%
22%
68%
|
99 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 3
FRA
43%
25%
33%
|
99 | 99 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2006 |
SAU
0 - 1
ESP
2%
11%
87%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2006 |
ESP
3 - 1
TUN
91%
8%
2%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
ESP
4 - 0
UKR
91%
8%
2%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
LIE
0 - 3
CHE
8%
18%
74%
|
21 | 91 | 70 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
LIE
1 - 3
AUS
9%
21%
70%
|
21 | 90 | 69 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
LIE
0 - 1
TGO
11%
19%
70%
|
21 | 68 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
LIE
1 - 2
MKD
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 75 | 54 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
PRT
2 - 1
LIE
96%
3%
0%
|
21 | 96 | 75 | 0 |