EC Qualifying Playoff. Final
Global 1-2
Slovenia vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
HRV
1 - 1
SVN
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
CYP
2 - 2
SVN
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
SVN
0 - 2
FRA
13%
22%
65%
|
84 | 100 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SVN
3 - 1
ISR
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
SVN
2 - 1
HUN
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
HRV
1 - 1
SVN
67%
21%
12%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
HRV
1 - 0
BGR
55%
25%
20%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
BEL
2 - 1
HRV
54%
24%
21%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
AND
0 - 3
HRV
10%
21%
68%
|
92 | 53 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
ENG
3 - 1
HRV
70%
20%
11%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |