Scotland vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
SCT
2 - 0
HRV
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
MKD
1 - 2
SCT
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
SCT
0 - 2
BEL
32%
27%
42%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ENG
3 - 2
SCT
80%
15%
6%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
HRV
0 - 1
SCT
72%
19%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
PAN
2 - 3
USA
20%
26%
54%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
USA
2 - 0
JAM
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
44%
25%
31%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CRI
3 - 1
USA
29%
26%
45%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
BIH
3 - 4
USA
27%
26%
47%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |