Egypt vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
5 - 1
KEN
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
3 - 0
BDI
89%
8%
3%
|
89 | 50 | 39 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
1 - 0
UGA
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
5 - 1
TZA
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
QAT
2 - 1
EGY
29%
29%
42%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
1 - 0
UGA
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
UGA
4 - 3
ETH
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
TZA
5 - 4
UGA
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
UGA
2 - 0
KEN
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
MWI
1 - 1
UGA
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |