Egypt vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2002 |
EGY
4 - 1
ETH
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2002 |
CMR
1 - 0
EGY
42%
27%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2002 |
EGY
2 - 1
ZAM
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2002 |
EGY
1 - 0
TUN
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
EGY
0 - 1
SEN
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
KEN
0 - 0
UGA
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2002 |
UGA
2 - 0
CHA
89%
8%
3%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
SDN
2 - 0
UGA
33%
26%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2002 |
ETH
0 - 0
UGA
40%
25%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2001 |
RWA
3 - 2
UGA
30%
25%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |