CAF Qualifying Fase de Grupos. Jor. 5

Egypt vs Senegal analysis

Egypt Senegal
86 ELO 81
12.6% Tilt 0.8%
158º General ELO ranking 148º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
69.4%
Egypt
18.6%
Draw
12%
Senegal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
Egypt
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12%
Win probability
Senegal
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Egypt
-1%
+11%
Senegal

ELO progression

Egypt
Senegal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Egypt
Egypt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2014
EGY
Egypt
2 - 0
Botsuana
BWA
81%
14%
6%
86 65 21 0
10 Oct. 2014
BWA
Botsuana
0 - 2
Egypt
EGY
20%
26%
54%
86 66 20 0
10 Sep. 2014
EGY
Egypt
0 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
65%
20%
15%
86 83 3 0
05 Sep. 2014
SEN
Senegal
2 - 0
Egypt
EGY
25%
26%
50%
87 80 7 -1
30 Aug. 2014
EGY
Egypt
1 - 0
Kenya
KEN
87%
10%
3%
86 57 29 +1

Matches

Senegal
Senegal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2014
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 0
Senegal
SEN
49%
26%
25%
81 83 2 0
10 Oct. 2014
SEN
Senegal
0 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
39%
27%
34%
81 83 2 0
10 Sep. 2014
BWA
Botsuana
0 - 2
Senegal
SEN
24%
27%
49%
81 66 15 0
05 Sep. 2014
SEN
Senegal
2 - 0
Egypt
EGY
25%
26%
50%
80 87 7 +1
31 May. 2014
COL
Colombia
2 - 2
Senegal
SEN
77%
17%
7%
80 91 11 0
X