Egypt vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 0
COG
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
OMN
1 - 1
EGY
24%
28%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
CAF
1 - 1
EGY
1%
14%
85%
|
89 | 14 | 75 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 3
CAF
98%
2%
0%
|
89 | 13 | 76 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
GIN
2 - 3
EGY
21%
28%
51%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TUN
0 - 0
SLE
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SLE
2 - 2
TUN
18%
26%
56%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
TUN
2 - 2
IRN
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CPV
1 - 2
TUN
22%
27%
52%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TUN
3 - 1
GNQ
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |