Egypt vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
EGY
2 - 1
RSA
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
EGY
1 - 0
SEN
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
EGY
6 - 0
MAD
93%
6%
2%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
EGY
7 - 0
MUS
95%
5%
1%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
FRA
5 - 0
EGY
84%
12%
4%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
SWE
0 - 1
LVA
83%
13%
5%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
POL
0 - 2
SWE
33%
28%
40%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SWE
5 - 0
SMR
94%
5%
1%
|
94 | 46 | 48 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
SWE
1 - 2
GRC
68%
20%
12%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
SWE
3 - 0
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |