Egypt vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1986 |
EGY
2 - 2
ROU
38%
29%
34%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1986 |
EGY
0 - 4
ENG
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
EGY
1 - 0
ZMB
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1985 |
EGY
0 - 1
CIV
62%
20%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1985 |
NOR
3 - 0
EGY
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1986 |
EGY
2 - 2
ROU
38%
29%
34%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
TUR
1 - 3
ROU
25%
25%
49%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
ROU
0 - 1
NIR
64%
23%
13%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1985 |
ENG
1 - 1
ROU
74%
17%
8%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
ROU
2 - 0
FIN
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |