CAF Qualifying Grupo D. Jor. 1

Egypt vs Guinea analysis

Egypt Guinea
85 ELO 72
-2.9% Tilt -2.7%
158º General ELO ranking 811º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
69.9%
Egypt
18%
Draw
12%
Guinea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
Egypt
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12%
Win probability
Guinea
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Egypt
-2%
+2%
Guinea

ELO progression

Egypt
Guinea
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Egypt
Egypt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2022
SEN
Senegal
1 - 0
Egypt
EGY
39%
26%
35%
85 84 1 0
25 Mar. 2022
EGY
Egypt
1 - 0
Senegal
SEN
52%
24%
24%
85 84 1 0
06 Feb. 2022
SEN
Senegal
0 - 0
Egypt
EGY
37%
26%
38%
85 84 1 0
03 Feb. 2022
CMR
Cameroon
0 - 0
Egypt
EGY
25%
26%
49%
85 81 4 0
30 Jan. 2022
EGY
Egypt
2 - 1
Morocco
MAR
33%
26%
41%
85 88 3 0

Matches

Guinea
Guinea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2022
ZAF
South Africa
0 - 0
Guinea
GIN
53%
25%
22%
72 80 8 0
24 Jan. 2022
GIN
Guinea
0 - 1
Gambia
GMB
60%
22%
18%
73 65 8 -1
18 Jan. 2022
ZWE
Zimbabwe
2 - 1
Guinea
GIN
20%
24%
56%
74 63 11 -1
14 Jan. 2022
SEN
Senegal
0 - 0
Guinea
GIN
62%
22%
16%
74 84 10 0
10 Jan. 2022
GIN
Guinea
1 - 0
Malawi
MWI
78%
16%
7%
74 55 19 0
X