African WC Qual. 3rd Round Final
Global 3-7
Egypt vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
EGY
2 - 0
ZAM
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
GHA
6 - 1
EGY
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
EGY
4 - 2
GUI
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
GHA
6 - 1
EGY
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
JPN
3 - 1
GHA
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
GHA
2 - 1
ZAM
59%
24%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
TUR
2 - 2
GHA
64%
22%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
LSO
0 - 2
GHA
9%
22%
69%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |