Egypt vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1957 |
EGY
1 - 2
CSK
45%
23%
33%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1957 |
EGY
4 - 0
ETH
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SDN
1 - 2
EGY
42%
23%
35%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1955 |
EGY
0 - 4
PRT
52%
20%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1955 |
BGR
2 - 1
EGY
52%
20%
28%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1958 |
FRA
6 - 3
BRD
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1958 |
BRD
1 - 3
SWE
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1958 |
BRD
1 - 0
YUG
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
BRD
2 - 2
NIR
85%
9%
6%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
BRD
2 - 2
CSK
74%
14%
11%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |