Egypt vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1963 |
ALG
2 - 2
EGY
56%
19%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1963 |
ALG
1 - 1
EGY
56%
19%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1963 |
EGY
0 - 1
BRA
28%
23%
49%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1963 |
EGY
2 - 0
CHN
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1963 |
IDN
2 - 2
EGY
51%
20%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1963 |
LBN
4 - 2
KWT
61%
18%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1963 |
LBN
3 - 1
JOR
60%
18%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1963 |
LBN
2 - 3
SYR
64%
17%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
LBN
0 - 1
TUN
54%
19%
27%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1961 |
LBN
7 - 1
KSA
45%
21%
35%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +3 |