Egypt vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
EGY
3 - 0
SSD
92%
7%
1%
|
85 | 45 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
GIN
1 - 2
EGY
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MWI
0 - 4
EGY
10%
23%
67%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EGY
2 - 0
MWI
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 2
EGY
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 0
GUY
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
MWI
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 3
GIN
26%
25%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GIN
2 - 0
ETH
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 0
RWA
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |