Ecuador vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
HND
1 - 1
ECU
47%
27%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
ECU
4 - 1
VEN
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
ECU
2 - 2
POL
43%
26%
32%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
ECU
0 - 1
COL
43%
28%
30%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
VEN
1 - 0
ECU
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
COL
74%
18%
9%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
PER
65%
22%
14%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
USA
0 - 0
COL
56%
24%
20%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
ECU
0 - 1
COL
43%
28%
30%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
MEX
1 - 0
COL
58%
24%
18%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |