Ecuador vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
40%
27%
34%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
ECU
0 - 3
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
USA
2 - 1
ECU
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
ECU
4 - 0
HTI
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
60%
22%
19%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
BOL
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHI
25%
26%
50%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2016 |
ARG
0 - 0
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
MEX
0 - 7
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | +1 |