Ecuador vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
ECU
2 - 0
PER
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ECU
5 - 2
JAM
73%
18%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
THA
1 - 7
ECU
22%
27%
51%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PRY
2 - 1
ECU
51%
27%
23%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
USA
0 - 1
ECU
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
HND
2 - 0
SRB
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HND
0 - 3
PRY
34%
28%
38%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
HND
2 - 1
JAM
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
USA
1 - 0
HND
64%
21%
16%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
HND
0 - 3
PRY
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |