Denmark vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.5%
11.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1962 |
DDR
4 - 1
DNK
28%
21%
52%
|
77 | 33 | 44 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
POL
5 - 0
DNK
50%
21%
29%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
DNK
9 - 1
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
DEU
5 - 1
DNK
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
NOR
0 - 4
DNK
40%
23%
37%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1962 |
NOR
2 - 1
NLD
43%
21%
36%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
MLT
1 - 1
NOR
60%
18%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
TUR
2 - 1
NOR
60%
18%
21%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
86%
9%
5%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
NOR
0 - 4
DNK
40%
23%
37%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |