Denmark vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
DEN
2 - 0
SWE
54%
23%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ENG
0 - 1
DEN
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ISL
0 - 3
DEN
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
DEN
4 - 0
FRO
87%
11%
3%
|
89 | 51 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
DEN
0 - 0
ENG
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
HUN
2 - 1
ISL
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ISL
1 - 2
BEL
9%
17%
74%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ISL
0 - 3
DEN
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
ISL
2 - 1
ROU
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
BEL
5 - 1
ISL
89%
9%
3%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | -1 |