Denmark vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1978 |
DNK
2 - 1
SWE
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1978 |
ISL
0 - 0
DNK
21%
21%
58%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
NOR
1 - 2
DNK
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1978 |
DNK
3 - 3
IRL
57%
22%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
2 - 0
DNK
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1978 |
ENG
4 - 1
HUN
56%
23%
20%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
SCT
0 - 1
ENG
40%
27%
32%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1978 |
ENG
1 - 0
NIR
84%
12%
4%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
WLS
1 - 3
ENG
23%
28%
50%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |