Croatia vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
HRV
0 - 1
PRT
43%
25%
32%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
HRV
2 - 1
ESP
20%
22%
58%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
CZE
2 - 2
HRV
33%
25%
43%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
TUR
0 - 1
HRV
33%
25%
42%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
HRV
10 - 0
SMR
83%
13%
4%
|
91 | 27 | 64 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
TUR
0 - 0
RUS
49%
25%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
CZE
0 - 2
TUR
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 0
TUR
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
TUR
0 - 1
HRV
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SVN
0 - 1
TUR
26%
26%
49%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |