EC Qualifying Grupo E. Jor. 7

Croatia vs Hungary analysis

Croatia Hungary
91 ELO 82
-2.3% Tilt 2.1%
39º General ELO ranking 132º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
69.9%
Croatia
18.5%
Draw
11.6%
Hungary

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
Croatia
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.6%
Win probability
Hungary
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Croatia
+8%
+20%
Hungary

ELO progression

Croatia
Hungary
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Croatia
Croatia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2019
AZE
Azerbaijan
1 - 1
Croatia
HRV
8%
21%
71%
91 60 31 0
06 Sep. 2019
SVK
Slovakia
0 - 4
Croatia
HRV
30%
27%
43%
90 85 5 +1
11 Jun. 2019
HRV
Croatia
1 - 2
Tunisia
TUN
78%
15%
7%
90 81 9 0
08 Jun. 2019
HRV
Croatia
2 - 1
Wales
WLS
73%
18%
9%
90 84 6 0
24 Mar. 2019
HUN
Hungary
2 - 1
Croatia
HRV
21%
25%
53%
90 81 9 0

Matches

Hungary
Hungary
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2019
HUN
Hungary
1 - 2
Slovakia
SVK
39%
26%
35%
83 85 2 0
05 Sep. 2019
MNE
Montenegro
2 - 1
Hungary
HUN
26%
23%
51%
83 72 11 0
11 Jun. 2019
HUN
Hungary
1 - 0
Wales
WLS
48%
26%
26%
82 84 2 +1
08 Jun. 2019
AZE
Azerbaijan
1 - 3
Hungary
HUN
11%
21%
68%
82 61 21 0
24 Mar. 2019
HUN
Hungary
2 - 1
Croatia
HRV
21%
25%
53%
81 90 9 +1
X