Ivory Coast vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
SLV
1 - 2
CIV
17%
22%
61%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
BIH
2 - 1
CIV
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 2
CIV
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 1
CIV
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CIV
3 - 1
SEN
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
JPN
4 - 3
ZMB
76%
17%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 3
JPN
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
JPN
1 - 0
CYP
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
JPN
4 - 2
NZL
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 3
JPN
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |