Ivory Coast vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1987 |
ZMB
2 - 0
CIV
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
CIV
1 - 0
GHA
40%
25%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
GHA
1 - 2
CIV
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1987 |
GAB
1 - 0
CIV
37%
25%
39%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
CIV
1 - 3
COD
63%
20%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
MWI
2 - 1
ZWE
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1987 |
MWI
1 - 4
ZWE
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
MWI
2 - 0
ZMB
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
ZMB
3 - 1
MWI
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
MWI
6 - 1
SWZ
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |