Colombia vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
BOL
4 - 0
COL
29%
28%
43%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
COL
1 - 2
BRA
17%
23%
60%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
SVK
68%
21%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
COL
0 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
75%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
GTM
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
VEN
0 - 3
ARG
11%
21%
68%
|
78 | 98 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 0
VEN
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
VEN
3 - 2
HTI
60%
21%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
NGA
1 - 0
VEN
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
TTO
2 - 2
VEN
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |