Colombia vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
PRY
0 - 1
COL
30%
28%
42%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 1
COL
73%
18%
9%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
COL
2 - 0
VEN
74%
18%
9%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
USA
0 - 1
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
CHL
42%
25%
33%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
URY
3 - 0
VEN
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
URY
4 - 0
PRY
70%
19%
12%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 0
URY
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
URY
3 - 0
JAM
81%
13%
6%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
URY
0 - 1
VEN
76%
16%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |