Colombia vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
JPN
0 - 0
COL
44%
28%
28%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MNE
0 - 1
COL
12%
23%
65%
|
92 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
PAN
0 - 4
COL
18%
28%
54%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
COL
2 - 0
PAR
51%
26%
23%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SUI
1 - 3
COL
51%
27%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
ECU
2 - 0
PER
56%
25%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
ECU
1 - 2
PER
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
ECU
1 - 1
IRL
32%
28%
40%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
ECU
2 - 4
MEX
32%
28%
41%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
USA
3 - 1
ECU
65%
22%
13%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |