Colombia vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
PRY
1 - 1
COL
22%
26%
53%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 1
COL
9%
21%
71%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
COL
3 - 2
PER
57%
24%
19%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 1
COL
63%
21%
17%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
URY
0 - 0
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ECU
0 - 0
CHL
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 1
BRA
8%
16%
76%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHL
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 2
PRY
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
URY
1 - 1
CHL
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |