Cyprus vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
XXK
5 - 1
CYP
65%
20%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CYP
1 - 0
GRC
21%
29%
50%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NIR
2 - 2
CYP
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
GRC
3 - 0
CYP
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CYP
0 - 0
NIR
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
MKD
0 - 1
BGR
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BGR
5 - 1
GIB
83%
12%
6%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
GEO
0 - 0
BGR
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
GIB
1 - 1
BGR
7%
14%
79%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BGR
2 - 5
GEO
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |