Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
PER
2 - 0
CHL
42%
26%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
COL
3 - 1
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ECU
0 - 0
CHL
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 1
BRA
8%
16%
76%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHL
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
PRY
0 - 0
ARG
14%
22%
64%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
PRY
2 - 1
VEN
47%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
PRY
1 - 1
COL
22%
26%
53%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ECU
2 - 0
PRY
62%
21%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
PER
3 - 3
PRY
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |