Chile vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARG
29%
23%
48%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
CHL
2 - 1
PER
71%
18%
12%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
CHL
1 - 0
URY
46%
23%
31%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
CHL
5 - 0
BOL
76%
15%
9%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
CHL
3 - 3
MEX
50%
23%
27%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
PER
2 - 0
PRY
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2015 |
ARG
6 - 1
PRY
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
PRY
84%
12%
4%
|
87 | 97 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
URY
1 - 1
PRY
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
PRY
1 - 0
JAM
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |