Chile vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
PER
1 - 1
CHI
48%
28%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 2
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1985 |
CHI
2 - 0
FIN
79%
14%
8%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
77%
17%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1985 |
ECU
3 - 0
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
ECU
3 - 1
FIN
66%
20%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
ECU
2 - 3
DDR
21%
28%
51%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |