Chile vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
CHI
3 - 0
BRA
17%
22%
61%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 2
CHI
22%
25%
53%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHI
30%
27%
43%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2000 |
CHI
3 - 1
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
50%
26%
25%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
COL
1 - 0
URU
45%
27%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2000 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
39%
28%
33%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2000 |
PER
0 - 1
COL
38%
28%
34%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2000 |
COL
1 - 3
ARG
24%
27%
49%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
COL
3 - 0
VEN
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |