CAF Qualifying Ronda Preliminar. Final
Global 2-3
Chad vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MLI
3 - 0
TCD
82%
14%
4%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
TCD
0 - 3
NAM
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
TCD
1 - 1
GIN
10%
17%
74%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
GIN
1 - 0
TCD
84%
12%
5%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TCD
0 - 2
MLI
6%
11%
83%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
GMB
0 - 2
CMR
19%
26%
56%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
GIN
0 - 1
GMB
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
GMB
1 - 0
TUN
15%
23%
63%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
GMB
1 - 1
MLI
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
MRT
0 - 1
GMB
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |