Bulgaria vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NLD
2 - 0
BGR
74%
18%
8%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BGR
0 - 1
WLS
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
BGR
2 - 1
BLR
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
BLR
0 - 2
BGR
27%
27%
46%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
BGR
0 - 0
ALB
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 3
SVN
13%
23%
64%
|
33 | 82 | 49 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 0
GEO
14%
20%
67%
|
32 | 76 | 44 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 3
ALB
17%
22%
62%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 0
LUX
76%
17%
7%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
ROU
3 - 0
LUX
85%
12%
4%
|
33 | 94 | 61 | 0 |