Brazil vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.4%
3.4%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
PER
79%
14%
6%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 2
COL
73%
18%
10%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 1
PER
79%
14%
6%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
ARG
64%
20%
15%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
PRY
83%
13%
5%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SEN
1 - 0
GIN
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SEN
3 - 0
LBR
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LBR
1 - 0
SEN
12%
21%
67%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
SEN
0 - 1
DZA
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SEN
1 - 0
TUN
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |