Copa America Grupo B. Jor. 3

Brazil vs Peru analysis

Brazil Peru
97 ELO 87
2.5% Tilt 22.9%
General ELO ranking 116º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
82.7%
Brazil
12.7%
Draw
4.6%
Peru

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
Brazil
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
4.6%
Win probability
Peru
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brazil
-4%
-1%
Peru

ELO progression

Brazil
Peru
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brazil
Brazil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2016
BRA
Brazil
7 - 1
Haiti
HTI
89%
9%
2%
97 70 27 0
05 Jun. 2016
BRA
Brazil
0 - 0
Ecuador
ECU
76%
16%
8%
97 89 8 0
30 May. 2016
PAN
Panama
0 - 2
Brazil
BRA
6%
14%
80%
97 83 14 0
30 Mar. 2016
PRY
Paraguay
2 - 2
Brazil
BRA
9%
16%
75%
97 86 11 0
26 Mar. 2016
BRA
Brazil
2 - 2
Uruguay
URY
71%
18%
11%
97 91 6 0

Matches

Peru
Peru
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2016
ECU
Ecuador
2 - 2
Peru
PER
60%
22%
19%
86 89 3 0
05 Jun. 2016
HTI
Haiti
0 - 1
Peru
PER
17%
24%
59%
86 71 15 0
29 May. 2016
PER
Peru
3 - 1
El Salvador
SLV
75%
18%
7%
86 67 19 0
24 May. 2016
PER
Peru
4 - 0
Trinidad and Tobago
TTO
64%
22%
15%
86 76 10 0
30 Mar. 2016
URY
Uruguay
1 - 0
Peru
PER
72%
18%
10%
86 91 5 0
X